Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
4 - 2
URU
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
62%
21%
16%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
MEX
2 - 2
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
COL
5 - 0
URU
43%
27%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
URU
1 - 3
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |