Paraguay vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
COL
2 - 1
KOR
45%
27%
29%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
KOR
3 - 1
GER
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 0
MDV
95%
5%
1%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 1
KOR
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
VIE
1 - 2
KOR
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |