Paraguay vs UAE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
67%
21%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 2
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
UAE
1 - 1
GAM
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
QAT
5 - 0
UAE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
UAE
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
MTN
0 - 1
UAE
14%
22%
64%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
UAE
2 - 1
SYR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |