Paraguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 1
PAR
35%
26%
39%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 5
ARG
17%
23%
60%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
GER
3 - 3
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
COL
3 - 3
CHI
50%
26%
25%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
24%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
55%
25%
21%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
SRB
72%
19%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |