Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 0
PAR
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
91%
7%
2%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
VEN
0 - 1
CHI
33%
26%
40%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |