Paraguay vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
RSA
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
NED
0 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
QAT
70%
20%
11%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
51%
27%
23%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
RSA
0 - 0
PRK
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 1
PRK
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
VEN
2 - 1
PRK
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
TKM
1 - 1
PRK
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
PRK
5 - 0
MMR
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |