Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1991 |
PNG
0 - 0
CYM
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
FIJ
1 - 0
PNG
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1990 |
CYM
1 - 0
PNG
50%
22%
28%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1990 |
VAN
1 - 0
PNG
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1989 |
PNG
0 - 0
SOL
71%
16%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1990 |
FIJ
1 - 1
VAN
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1990 |
VAN
1 - 0
PNG
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
VAN
1 - 1
CYM
56%
21%
22%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1989 |
PNG
3 - 0
VAN
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1989 |
FIJ
2 - 1
VAN
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |