Papua New Guinea vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 2
PNG
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SOL
2 - 0
PNG
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PHL
5 - 0
PNG
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SGP
2 - 1
PNG
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |