Papua New Guinea vs Fiji Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CTA
4 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
PNG
25%
20%
55%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
SOL
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Fiji Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 2
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
FIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
0 - 2
SOL
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
47%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FIJ
1 - 2
PNG
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |