New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
NZL
4 - 0
MAS
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
AUS
16%
19%
66%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
AUS
18%
19%
63%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
8%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |