New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
5 - 0
TAH
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 2
VAN
61%
21%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 2
VAN
16%
18%
66%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAN
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |