New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1998 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
NZL
0 - 1
KOR
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
NZL
0 - 0
CHI
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
IDN
5 - 0
NZL
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
2 - 1
VAN
64%
22%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SOL
1 - 1
VAN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
3 - 0
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
3 - 1
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |