New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
VAN
1 - 4
NZL
29%
29%
43%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
NZL
3 - 0
FIJ
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 2
ENG
19%
28%
52%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
ENG
19%
28%
53%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1991 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
VAN
1 - 4
NZL
29%
29%
43%
|
39 | 76 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1991 |
FIJ
3 - 1
VAN
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
CYM
2 - 1
VAN
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1991 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1990 |
FIJ
1 - 1
VAN
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |