New Zealand vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
4%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
88%
7%
4%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
1 - 1
TAH
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1973 |
NZL
5 - 1
FIJ
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
IDN
1 - 1
NZL
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1972 |
AUS
3 - 1
NZL
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1973 |
VAN
2 - 1
FIJ
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1973 |
TAH
1 - 0
VAN
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
NCL
4 - 1
VAN
64%
19%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |