New Zealand vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
NZL
1 - 0
CIV
23%
28%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
NCL
0 - 3
NZL
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NZL
7 - 0
FIJ
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 8
NZL
8%
17%
75%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
NZL
8 - 1
VAN
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
4 - 2
UKR
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 0
UKR
65%
19%
16%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
UKR
3 - 1
BEL
17%
21%
63%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 2
UKR
16%
22%
63%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GEO
1 - 1
UKR
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |