New Zealand vs Paraguay analysis

New Zealand Paraguay
73 ELO 90
-5.9% Tilt 11.3%
1415º General ELO ranking 200º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.7%
New Zealand
29%
Draw
46.3%
Paraguay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
New Zealand
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.3%
Win probability
Paraguay
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

New Zealand
Paraguay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2010
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 1
Honduras
HND
24%
26%
51%
73 87 14 0
24 Jun. 2010
PAR
Paraguay
0 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
83%
13%
5%
72 90 18 +1
20 Jun. 2010
ITA
Italy
1 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
89%
9%
2%
72 95 23 0
15 Jun. 2010
NZL
New Zealand
1 - 1
Slovakia
SVK
15%
22%
63%
71 86 15 +1
04 Jun. 2010
SVN
Slovenia
3 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
70%
18%
12%
72 84 12 -1

Matches

Paraguay
Paraguay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2010
AUS
Australia
1 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
45%
29%
27%
90 89 1 0
07 Sep. 2010
CHN
China
1 - 1
Paraguay
PAR
39%
28%
33%
89 84 5 +1
04 Sep. 2010
JPN
Japan
1 - 0
Paraguay
PAR
50%
27%
24%
89 89 0 0
11 Aug. 2010
PAR
Paraguay
2 - 0
Costa Rica
CRC
54%
24%
22%
89 86 3 0
03 Jul. 2010
PAR
Paraguay
0 - 1
Spain
ESP
5%
12%
83%
90 99 9 -1