New Zealand vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
46.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
HND
24%
26%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
NZL
83%
13%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 1
NZL
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 95 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2010 |
NZL
1 - 1
SVK
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
SVN
3 - 1
NZL
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CHN
1 - 1
PAR
39%
28%
33%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 0
CRC
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ESP
5%
12%
83%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |