New Zealand vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
4 - 0
TAH
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
10%
22%
68%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
7 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
SOL
1 - 5
NZL
6%
16%
78%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2002 |
PNG
0 - 0
SOL
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
PNG
1 - 5
VAN
58%
21%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
COK
4 - 2
PNG
53%
22%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
GLP
6 - 1
PNG
62%
20%
19%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
FIJ
5 - 0
PNG
68%
18%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |