New Zealand vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
PNG
1 - 0
NZL
20%
26%
55%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1997 |
KOR
3 - 1
NZL
65%
22%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
NOR
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1997 |
PNG
1 - 0
NZL
20%
26%
55%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
2 - 1
VAN
64%
22%
15%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
1 - 1
SOL
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
VAN
3 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
2 - 2
PNG
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |