New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
EGY
1 - 0
NZL
75%
17%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
IRL
1 - 1
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
NCL
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |