New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NCL
5 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 6
NCL
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 1
TAH
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |