New Zealand vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
1 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 2
NZL
3%
11%
86%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
13%
19%
69%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HND
0 - 1
NZL
66%
20%
15%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
NZL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 3
NCL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
NCL
1 - 3
REU
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NCL
2 - 4
REU
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |