New Zealand vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
VAN
76%
17%
8%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
5 - 0
TAH
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
LBN
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
2 - 1
PHL
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 1
TWN
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
KGZ
1 - 1
MAS
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MAS
0 - 2
OMA
19%
24%
58%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |