New Zealand vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
75%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
USA
2 - 1
NZL
74%
18%
8%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
NZL
68%
21%
11%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
NZL
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
NZL
1 - 0
AUS
9%
21%
70%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 4
ARG
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
JPN
0 - 1
KOR
46%
25%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
KOR
0 - 1
JPN
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 2
URU
47%
26%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |