New Zealand vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
52.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1991 |
AUS
2 - 1
NZL
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
1 - 0
CHN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1988 |
FIJ
1 - 1
NZL
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
ENG
24%
29%
48%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
ENG
2 - 2
ARG
64%
22%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1991 |
ENG
3 - 1
SUN
56%
26%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
TUR
0 - 1
ENG
18%
28%
54%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
ENG
1 - 1
IRL
73%
19%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |