New Zealand vs Fiji Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 8
NZL
8%
17%
75%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
NZL
8 - 1
VAN
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
NZL
4 - 0
MAS
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 3
FIJ
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 3
FIJ
7%
14%
79%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
16%
19%
64%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 1
VAN
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 1
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |