New Zealand vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
0.9%
Win probability
0.15
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
0.7%
2-1
0.1%
3-2
<0%
+1
0.9%
7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.2%
3-3
<0%
0
7%
92.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.2%
-1
16.8%
0-2
19.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.2%
-2
22.9%
0-3
19.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
21.5%
0-4
14%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0%
-4
15.3%
0-5
8.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
8.8%
0-6
4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.7%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
4 - 3
NZL
76%
17%
6%
|
71 | 98 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
NZL
26%
25%
48%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
TAN
2 - 1
NZL
32%
26%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
THA
3 - 1
NZL
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
NZL
0 - 2
FIJ
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
AZE
0 - 6
ESP
7%
20%
73%
|
99 | 67 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
TUR
1 - 2
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 0
TUR
73%
19%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
53%
25%
22%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
7%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |