New Zealand vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
1 - 0
CHN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1988 |
FIJ
1 - 1
NZL
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1988 |
NZL
1 - 2
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 2
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
53%
27%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
IDN
0 - 3
AUS
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | +1 |