New Zealand vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOL
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
81%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NZL
2 - 1
NCL
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2013 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBY
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
JOR
2 - 1
JPN
15%
23%
61%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
JOR
1 - 0
BLR
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
JOR
4 - 0
SGP
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
JOR
5 - 0
IDN
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |