New Zealand vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
NZL
96%
4%
0%
|
73 | 99 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
NZL
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
NZL
0 - 3
JPN
8%
17%
75%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 1
TAH
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
NCL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SOL
5 - 0
COK
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SOL
6 - 0
TON
87%
9%
3%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |