New Zealand vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 2
AUS
11%
22%
67%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 0
OMA
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
NZL
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
1 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
OMA
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |