New Caledonia vs Tonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
COK
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
NCL
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
NCL
0 - 1
VAN
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 90 | 48 | -1 |
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
TON
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
SOL
6 - 0
TON
87%
9%
3%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
4 - 0
TON
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |