New Caledonia vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 90 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SOL
2 - 4
NCL
65%
18%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NCL
2 - 1
FIJ
70%
17%
13%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -5 |
| 28 Feb. 1980 |
NCL
8 - 0
PNG
65%
19%
17%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
0 - 1
VAN
85%
11%
5%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
VGB
2 - 1
VAN
53%
22%
26%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
2 - 0
VAN
86%
11%
3%
|
38 | 90 | 52 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
NZL
7 - 0
VAN
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
VAN
2 - 7
SOL
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |