New Caledonia vs Reunion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 0
NCL
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAH
1 - 3
NCL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
VAN
0 - 0
NCL
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NCL
3 - 5
TAH
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
NZL
3 - 0
NCL
88%
10%
3%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |