New Caledonia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
78.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 1
TAH
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TAH
4 - 3
NCL
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VAN
2 - 5
NCL
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
1 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 2
NZL
3%
11%
86%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
13%
19%
69%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |