New Caledonia vs Cook Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
SOL
2 - 0
NCL
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
NCL
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
NCL
0 - 1
VAN
53%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
11 - 0
NCL
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 90 | 48 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cook Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
16%
21%
62%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SOL
5 - 0
COK
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TAH
2 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
COK
0 - 0
SLE
9%
18%
74%
|
34 | 72 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2001 |
COK
0 - 6
TAH
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |