New Caledonia vs Solomon Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
NCL
31%
23%
46%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2024 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 2
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
FIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
NCL
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |