Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 1
CZE
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
NIR
2 - 0
NOR
35%
27%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
CZE
2 - 1
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
4 - 1
SMR
83%
14%
3%
|
85 | 29 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
AZE
1 - 0
NOR
14%
25%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SWE
2 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
SWE
64%
20%
15%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SWE
4 - 0
BLR
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SWE
6 - 0
SVK
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SWE
1 - 2
CIV
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |