Norway vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
NIR
0 - 4
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
KOR
2 - 3
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 1
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 1
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 0
ARM
92%
6%
2%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
SUI
0 - 4
POL
45%
26%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
POL
1 - 0
ISL
71%
20%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
POL
0 - 0
WAL
57%
23%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
POL
3 - 1
BLR
88%
10%
3%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
UKR
1 - 3
POL
34%
25%
42%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |