Norway vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.4%
3.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
NOR
11%
19%
70%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
ITA
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ISR
2 - 4
NOR
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 5
NOR
10%
19%
72%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 0
KAZ
77%
16%
8%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 0
MDA
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
87%
10%
3%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
2 - 3
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 5
NOR
10%
19%
72%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
GIB
1 - 1
MDA
21%
22%
58%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |