Norway vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
NOR
17%
25%
59%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
ALB
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 2
UKR
57%
24%
19%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
NOR
16%
24%
60%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 1
NOR
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
SWE
1 - 0
MKD
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
MKD
77%
15%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
MKD
0 - 2
BEL
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MKD
3 - 0
DEN
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
POL
4 - 1
MKD
70%
19%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |