Norway vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
42%
27%
32%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
IRL
1 - 2
NOR
46%
27%
27%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 0
LTU
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 28 | 53 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
1 - 3
ESP
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 99 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
LTU
2 - 0
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
2 - 0
LTU
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
ESP
3 - 1
LTU
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |