Norway vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 3
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
THA
0 - 1
NOR
17%
24%
60%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
WAL
4 - 1
NOR
27%
27%
46%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
GER
4 - 2
GRC
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 0
RUS
31%
25%
44%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
GRC
1 - 2
CZE
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
GRC
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 1
GRC
19%
27%
54%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | -1 |