Norway vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 1
NOR
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GER
0 - 1
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
UKR
1 - 0
NOR
37%
27%
36%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
NED
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SCO
0 - 0
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
WAL
0 - 2
FIN
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
JPN
5 - 1
FIN
63%
24%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SUI
1 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
RUS
3 - 0
FIN
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |