Norway vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CYP
0 - 4
NOR
15%
24%
61%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
GEO
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
6 - 0
JOR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
3 - 1
CYP
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
SCT
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
SCT
82%
12%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
6 - 0
CYP
91%
7%
2%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
GEO
1 - 7
ESP
5%
15%
81%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
HRV
0 - 0
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
62%
20%
17%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |