Norway vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
75%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 0
MLT
84%
13%
3%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FRO
0 - 2
NOR
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 2
ROU
36%
28%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
NOR
3 - 3
SWE
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ESP
4 - 0
FRO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ROU
1 - 2
ESP
14%
21%
64%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 0
SWE
80%
13%
7%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FRO
1 - 4
ESP
3%
12%
85%
|
95 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
MLT
0 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
94 | 48 | 46 | +1 |