Norway vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 41 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 0
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 4
ESP
5%
15%
80%
|
98 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
UKR
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
POR
0 - 3
ESP
35%
26%
39%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 0
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |