Norway vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GEO
1 - 1
NOR
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
35%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 2
SRB
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 0
ESP
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 0
CYP
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 1
SCO
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UKR
0 - 0
SCO
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 1
IRL
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |