Norway vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
BLR
2 - 1
NOR
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 3
POL
56%
24%
21%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
NIR
0 - 4
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
KOR
2 - 3
NOR
33%
27%
40%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
NOR
0 - 1
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
BGR
4 - 3
NIR
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
BGR
2 - 1
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
JOR
0 - 2
BGR
20%
26%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
JAM
0 - 0
BGR
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |