Norway vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 2
NOR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
ISL
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
NOR
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
54%
26%
20%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
NOR
23%
26%
51%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 2
BLR
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
NIR
3 - 0
BLR
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MNE
0 - 0
BLR
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 0
BLR
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
BLR
0 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |