Nigeria vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SDN
1 - 0
NGA
20%
27%
54%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
NGA
34%
29%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
CGO
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
NGA
2 - 3
ARG
13%
19%
69%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SDN
1 - 0
NGA
20%
27%
54%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CGO
2 - 0
SDN
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SDN
0 - 3
RSA
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |